Politics

Trump Waives Most Russia Sanctions Under Graham Act Two Days Before They Were Due to Start

Four weeks after signing it into law, Donald Trump has just waived almost all of it. The sanctions package that Congress passed to hammer Russia — backed by the late Senator Lindsey Graham, championed on both sides of the aisle, and set to bite on October 18 — was shelved by presidential executive order on Friday, just two days before the first tariffs were due to start.

So what happened? The short answer is diesel. The longer answer involves a deal with Vladimir Putin, a furious bipartisan revolt on Capitol Hill, soaring fuel prices, and a president who decided that cheaper energy at home mattered more than maximum pressure on Moscow.

The law Congress thought was a done deal

The Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026 was supposed to be the toughest economic weapon Washington had ever aimed at Moscow. Trump himself signed it in the Oval Office on September 18. Under its terms, goods from Russia would face duties of up to 500 percent, while goods from the five largest buyers of Russian crude oil and gas — a list that includes India and China — would face tariffs of up to 100 percent, kicking in 30 days after enactment.

It named its targets precisely: sanctions on Russia’s top officials by office, beginning with the president of the Russian Federation, plus Russian state banks and the shadow-fleet tankers that keep Moscow’s oil flowing. For a Congress eager to show it could still speak with one voice on foreign policy, the act was a rare moment of bipartisan muscle.

And then came the waiver.

The United States Capitol dome at dawn, symbolizing the bipartisan Russia sanctions law Congress passed
The Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act passed with strong bipartisan support — and was shelved by executive order two days before it took effect.

Trump waives Russia sanctions: what the order actually does

The executive order, titled “Implementing the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026” and signed on October 16, certifies to Congress that waiving the law’s sanctions and tariffs is in the “national interests of the United States.” Section 115 of the act gives the president exactly that authority — and Trump used it almost to the maximum.

What gets set aside: duties on Russian goods (up to 500 percent), the 100 percent tariffs on the top five buyers of Russian crude and gas, tariffs on the top five facilitators of sanctions evasion, and the sanctions on Russian officials, state banks, and shadow-fleet tankers.

What stays in place: sanctions imposed under earlier executive orders on the Russian government’s harmful foreign activities, including the national emergency Trump himself continued on March 24, 2026. Anyone sanctioned under those older orders stays sanctioned. The order also keeps a monitoring apparatus running — the U.S. trade representative, working with the State, Treasury, and Energy departments, must keep tracking which countries buy Russian fuel, watch for evasion, and report back on whether the waivers should change.

The diesel deal behind it

None of this happens in a vacuum. Earlier this month, Trump announced a diesel import deal with Russia: 300,000 tonnes released immediately, 500,000 more in November, another million after that — and possibly three million more, depending on the condition of Russian refineries. The Treasury issued a temporary license suspending diesel-related sanctions until April 7 to make it legal.

The motive is visible at every American gas station. Diesel prices have surged amid the wars in Iran and Ukraine, and Republicans have been urging Trump to bring costs down ahead of November’s midterm elections. The president’s calculation is straightforward: cheap Russian diesel now is worth more to him than a sanctions package his own party just passed.

But here’s the awkward part. Enforcing the Graham Act and buying Russian diesel were always going to collide — and Trump chose the diesel.

An oil tanker at an industrial fuel terminal at sunset, representing Russian energy exports and the diesel trade
Trump’s diesel deal with Putin — millions of tonnes of Russian fuel — set the stage for the sanctions waiver.

Capitol Hill is furious

The backlash was bipartisan and fast. Just a day before the waiver, a group of 22 lawmakers from both parties urged Trump to enforce the act and kill the diesel deal. Their letter warned that “as Russia prepares to wage a fifth winter campaign against Ukraine, the United States has an opportunity to reinvigorate peace efforts by placing maximum pressure on Vladimir Putin and the governments and networks that finance his war.”

Trump’s reply, in effect: national interest says otherwise. He also kept up his public attacks on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy last week — saying it was “time for Ukraine to get a new president” and warning him to stop striking Russian oil refineries, the very refineries whose condition Trump himself says will determine whether Russia can deliver the diesel. Kyiv, meanwhile, has already branded the fuel purchase a “gift” to Putin — and now the sanctions waiver lands on top of that.

What this means for India, China, and oil markets

The immediate beneficiaries sit outside Washington. India and China, among the largest buyers of Russian crude, faced the prospect of 100 percent U.S. tariffs on their goods within 30 days of the law’s enactment. That threat is now suspended — a significant relief for both, and for global supply chains that would have convulsed under tariffs of that scale.

The waiver also signals something broader about U.S. sanctions policy under Trump: pressure is negotiable when domestic prices are on the line. With inflation still biting American households, the White House is betting voters will reward cheaper fuel more than they’ll punish a softer line on Moscow.

Frequently asked questions

What exactly did Trump waive?

Nearly all sanctions and tariffs in the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026: duties of up to 500 percent on Russian goods, up to 100 percent tariffs on the five largest buyers of Russian crude and gas, sanctions on Russian officials, state banks, and shadow-fleet tankers. Sanctions from earlier executive orders remain in force.

Why did he do it?

Trump certified to Congress that the waiver is in the “national interests of the United States.” The backdrop: a diesel import deal with Putin to bring down soaring U.S. fuel prices ahead of the November midterm elections. Enforcing the sanctions would have directly conflicted with buying Russian diesel.

Does this mean all Russia sanctions are gone?

No. Only the new Graham Act measures are waived. Sanctions imposed under earlier executive orders — including the national emergency on the Russian government’s harmful foreign activities — stay in place, and the waiver can be revisited if the monitoring agencies say conditions change.

How did Congress react?

A bipartisan group of 22 lawmakers had urged Trump to enforce the act and terminate the diesel deal, warning that Russia is preparing a fifth winter campaign against Ukraine. The White House went ahead anyway.

The bottom line

Congress built the biggest economic weapon it had against Russia, the president signed it — and then shelved it 48 hours before it could fire. Trump is wagering that cheaper diesel will matter more to Americans than a tougher line on Putin, and that his own party’s anger will fade by the midterms. Moscow gets sanctions relief and a fuel customer. Kyiv gets another reason to doubt American resolve. And the next time Congress writes a sanctions law, it will remember how fast one got waived.

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